Track Record

Track Record

Every realised trade from our B&L model portfolio – winners and losers alike. Judge our approach for yourself.

12realised trades9 full exits · 3 partial exits
8 out of 12profitable1 break-even · 3 losses
+81,79 %best tradeLithium Argentina
135 daysAverage holding periodfull exits
Lithium ArgentinaLAR
136 days
+81,79 %
B2GoldBTO
37 days
+27,41 %
Elevance HealthELV
320 days
+26,78 %
Sigma LithiumSGML
113 days
+15,64 %
Occidental PetroleumOXY
80 days
+5,37 %
Coeur MiningCDE
79 days
±0.00%
Novo NordiskNOVO B
324 days
−0.01%
WisdomTree WTI Crude OilCRUD
80 days
−1.19%
Porsche (preference shares)P911
49 days
−8.40%
UnitedHealth GroupUNH
50% sold
+39,28 %
iShares MSCI Brazil ETFEWZ
50% sold
+35,60 %
Riot PlatformsRIOT
50% sold
+15,05 %

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Selected trades in detail

See our framework at work in the actual model portfolio: four selected trades, showing when we entered, why we bought and how each position developed.
+81,8 %
Lithium Argentina | Purchased in December 2025
  • Macro
  • Fundamental
  • Sentiment
Starting point

After a prolonged decline, lithium prices began to show signs of bottoming out. We saw a potential turning point in the lithium cycle, supported by falling interest rates, greater liquidity and a rotation of capital into previously weak commodities.

Our analysis

At company level, we focused on operating performance: revenue and production rose significantly while costs fell. Potential catalysts included a recovery in lithium prices and an improving economic environment in Argentina.

Lithium Argentina (WKN: A4111M) in EUR
+39,3 %
UnitedHealth | Purchased in January 2026
  • Sentiment
  • Fundamental
  • Macro
Starting point

The largest US health insurers were under heavy pressure, and sentiment towards the entire sector was extremely negative — a classic contrarian indicator for us.

Our analysis

At the same time, the healthcare sector was showing positive signs again: many large US healthcare companies exceeded expectations. Other factors included anticipated interest-rate cuts, the possibility of improving sentiment after the next quarterly results and takeover potential. Our technical analysis identified clear support levels for our entry.

UnitedHealth (WKN: 869561) in EUR
+35,6 %
iShares MSCI Brazil | Purchased in October 2025
  • Macro
  • Fundamental
  • Technical
Starting point

Emerging-market equities were trading at historically low valuations. Many developing countries, particularly Brazil, are major commodity exporters and benefit strongly from rising commodity prices.

Our analysis

We expect substantially higher prices for both emerging-market equities and many commodities in the coming years. Attractive valuations, strong support from commodities and an intact upward trend make this ETF an attractive investment in our view.

iShares MSCI Brazil (WKN: 676767) in EUR
+28,6 %
Redcare Pharmacy | Purchased in September 2026
  • Fundamental
  • Technical
Starting point

We currently see exceptional opportunities in European healthcare. Redcare Pharmacy, formerly Shop Apotheke, stood out to us in particular.

Our analysis

We focused on customer growth, strong customer retention and electronic prescriptions as a key driver of growth in the German prescription-drug market, where Redcare is already the market leader. Following the price declines of recent months, the chart also showed clear support — potentially the beginning of a trend reversal in our view.

Redcare Pharmacy (WKN: A2AR94) in EUR
Model portfolio, not investment advice. Returns are measured against the entry price and exclude fees, taxes and dividends. For partial disposals, the return applies to the portion sold. Charts show closing prices in EUR, with US securities converted at the exchange rate for the relevant day. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

How to read the track record

  • Return is measured against the entry price of the relevant position, excluding fees, taxes and dividends.
  • Partial exits: We sold part of the position and retained the rest. The return applies to the portion sold.
  • Model portfolio: All figures come from the digital model portfolio we maintain in the B&L Market Update.

As at 7 October 2026 · Not investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

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